Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.000197 0.000213 0.000230 0.000250 0.000273 0.000297 0.000326
2024-10-13 0.000171 0.000194 0.000221 0.000254 0.000293 0.000340 0.000399
2024-10-20 0.000154 0.000180 0.000211 0.000251 0.000301 0.000363 0.000447
2024-10-27 0.000145 0.000174 0.000210 0.000257 0.000320 0.000401 0.000517
2024-11-03 0.000133 0.000162 0.000199 0.000250 0.000319 0.000412 0.000552
2024-11-10 0.000124 0.000154 0.000192 0.000246 0.000322 0.000428 0.000593
2024-11-17 0.000115 0.000146 0.000185 0.000241 0.000323 0.000440 0.000630
2024-11-24 0.000110 0.000141 0.000182 0.000241 0.000330 0.000462 0.000684
2024-12-01 0.000105 0.000136 0.000178 0.000241 0.000336 0.000482 0.000738
2024-12-08 0.000102 0.000133 0.000177 0.000243 0.000347 0.000510 0.000809
2024-12-15 0.000097 0.000128 0.000172 0.000240 0.000347 0.000522 0.000851
2024-12-22 0.000094 0.000125 0.000170 0.000240 0.000355 0.000546 0.000920
2024-12-29 0.000091 0.000123 0.000170 0.000244 0.000369 0.000583 0.001022
2025-01-05 0.000089 0.000122 0.000170 0.000249 0.000384 0.000625 0.001143
2025-01-12 0.000085 0.000117 0.000165 0.000246 0.000386 0.000642 0.001213
2025-01-19 0.000084 0.000117 0.000167 0.000252 0.000405 0.000695 0.001373
2025-01-26 0.000079 0.000111 0.000160 0.000245 0.000399 0.000697 0.001416
2025-02-02 0.000076 0.000108 0.000156 0.000241 0.000399 0.000710 0.001490
2025-02-09 0.000073 0.000104 0.000152 0.000236 0.000396 0.000719 0.001552
2025-02-16 0.000071 0.000102 0.000150 0.000237 0.000403 0.000748 0.001677
2025-02-23 0.000069 0.000099 0.000148 0.000236 0.000408 0.000775 0.001799
2025-03-02 0.000067 0.000098 0.000147 0.000238 0.000420 0.000817 0.001979
2025-03-09 0.000065 0.000095 0.000144 0.000235 0.000419 0.000829 0.002070